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August 18, 2006

Damn the Torpedoes - Updated 8/20/06

Refugee2.jpg
This graphic comes from an article at the Economist on the “painful political debate in rich countries” over asylum-seekers.

What the article does not discuss, and what I would like answered, is why the number of refugees worldwide is now at the lowest since 1980. Anyone?

I'll start it off by suggesting that it has little or nothing to do with the policies of the rich countries.

Updated below the fold...

Updated at 22:45 on August 20: I am sharing some of what I have looked up on this subject since it was originally posted.

I have taken the liberty of arranging specific parts of some of the pdfs from the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) into jpgs. I apologize if it looks sloppy. This table shows the nation of origin for refugees in 1993 and 1994.

Today, roughly 40% of the refugees today are in Asia, while Africa accounts for roughly a quarter. See the pie chart.

In 1993, by my reckoning, the numbers were about 35% for Asia, 37% for Africa. The UNHCR archives are available here in pdf if you are interested. Without doing any more math than that, it’s clear that a huge difference is the number of refugees in Africa.

I want to understand why that is.

Possibly more instructive is this table that shows the new arrivals of asylum seekers between 1993 and 1994. Note the combined million refugees arriving in Tanzania and Burundi… from Rwanda. Remember Rwanda?

This may be a much more significant factor than the collapse of the USSR. That collapse caused a lot of migration, but doesn’t seem to have created many refugees.

If you look at the graphic at the top of this article, the number of refugees worldwide looks to decrease by ~2 million between 1996 and 1997. According to the FAO, ~2 million Rwandans returned home during that time.

Wulf Posted by Wulf on August 18, 2006 at 04:04 PM

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Comments

"why the number of refugees worldwide is now at the lowest since 1980.

Listen, it dont really matter to me. You believe what you wanna believe.

Maybe they just don't want to live like refugees?

Posted by: Jon Henke at August 18, 2006 6:23 PM


Well, that depends if you attribute the decline to the fall of the Soviet Union and attribute that fall to the politics of rich countries....

Posted by: smilerz [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 18, 2006 6:30 PM


No, I only meant that it has little or nothing to do with the rich nations' policies regarding refugees or asylum seekers. I just wanted to short circuit any suggestion that the decline could be because the US or Europe were less welcoming to refugees today than we were in 1990.

I've been wondering about the impact of the fall of the USSR. But would that explain the steady rise from 1980 to 1990?

What I'd really like to see the numbers broken down by nation or even continent.

Posted by: Wulf [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 18, 2006 9:35 PM


How exactly were the numbers arrived at? Were the same questions asked every year?

Posted by: isiah of buffalo at August 19, 2006 9:44 PM


Great question, Isaiah. It would seem that the numbers have been obtained in the same manner for about half a century. That may not be entirely accurate, but that’s how it looks to me at this time. I am about to update the post, and it includes a few links that may be helpful if you are interested in pursuing that angle.

Posted by: Wulf [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 20, 2006 10:41 PM


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