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Tim Kaine won the governorship in Virginia. This is being hailed as a huge Democrat victory. I don't see it. I think it would have been a big Democrat loss if Kaine had lost to Republican Jerry Kilgore (and it could have hurt outgoing Governor Mark Warner's future in politics), but it's not an upset of some sort. It is the status quo - not good for the GOP, but to read it as the death-knell for the GOP majority at the federal level is a bit like predicting the Stanley Cup Championship based on the standings on November 9.
A nice take on the situation by The Therapist.
Also, I have seen the press in several places ask whether Kilgore may have been hurt by a last-minute visit by the currently unpopular President Bush. But there is one problem with that theory - Bush landed at the airport, spoke to a hanger full of Republicans, waved a bit and went home. It was a closed-door GOP pep rally, not a traditional stumping. Bush's popularity may be low, but it did not negatively affect the Republicans who came to Richmond International Airport last night, I am quite certain. I say this as a Virginia voter who was even more turned off by Kilgore than by Kaine - this election was definitely about knowing the evil of two lessers.
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